Brownell Holmes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 33.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Genesee County average of 4.3. At $833 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Flint commands.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Flint. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.