Outer Drive-Hayes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 48.8% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 47%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Housing insecurity runs 37.3% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $40,719 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. It sits 1.4 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.