Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Outer Drive-Hayes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Tract 26163504200 · Wayne County, MI · pop 1,841 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 26163504200 sits in the Outer Drive-Hayes area of Detroit eviction risk, MI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 1,841 residents. 50% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 21% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units603

Renter share56.9%

SVI overall0.87

Poverty rate29.1%

Median income$32,760

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.4082, -82.9718 · click any tract to drill in

Why Outer Drive-Hayes scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Detroit

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

29.1% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$1,037 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Detroit

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Detroit

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Detroit

6.0

How Outer Drive-Hayes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
35%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
100%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Outer Drive-Hayes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.9%Housing insecurity
31.7%Utility-shutoff threat
51.2%Food insecurity
56.3%SNAP enrollment
25.8%Transit barriers
13.2%No health insurance
24.3%Frequent mental distress
46.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Outer Drive-Hayes

SNAP participation runs 56.3% against 15.2% nationally. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Wayne County average of 46.6%. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Housing insecurity runs 37.9% against 14.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $32,760, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163504200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163504200?

Census tract 26163504200 in the Outer Drive-Hayes neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163504200?

Median gross rent is $1,037/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163504200?

29.1% of residents in tract 26163504200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,841.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163504200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 35th, minority 98th, housing 74th.

Is tract 26163504200 considered part of Outer Drive-Hayes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163504200 fall within Outer Drive-Hayes (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163504200 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163504200 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163504200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163504200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.