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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Outer Drive-Hayes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Tract 26163501200 · Wayne County, MI · pop 1,310 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 26163501200 covers part of the Outer Drive-Hayes area of Detroit, MI, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,310 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units498
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate49.2%
Median income$28,304

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Outer Drive-Hayes
Elevated
Within parent city
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#177 of 274 tracts In Detroit
Low
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#198 of 625 tracts In Wayne County
Elevated
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.4114, -82.9513 · click any tract to drill in

Why Outer Drive-Hayes scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Detroit
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
49.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$985 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Detroit
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Detroit
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Detroit
6.0

How Outer Drive-Hayes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Outer Drive-Hayes risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 5012004.6Detroitparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Outer Drive-Hayes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Outer Drive-Hayes

SNAP participation runs 70.2% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 41.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 49%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $28,304, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Wayne County average of 46.6%. Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $985 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Detroit commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163501200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163501200?

Census tract 26163501200 in the Outer Drive-Hayes neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26163501200?

Median gross rent is $985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163501200?

49.2% of residents in tract 26163501200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,310.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163501200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 78th, minority 99th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 26163501200 considered part of Outer Drive-Hayes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163501200 fall within Outer Drive-Hayes (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26163501200 struggle to pay rent?

About 45.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 41.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26163501200 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163501200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26163501200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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