Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Outer Drive-Hayes Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Tract 26163501200 · Wayne County, MI · pop 1,310 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Eviction risk in Outer Drive-Hayes in Detroit centers on tract 26163501200, which scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 1,310 residents. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $985 a month against an average household income of $28,304 a year, roughly 42% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units498

Renter share51.4%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate49.2%

Median income$28,304

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.4114, -82.9513 · click any tract to drill in

Why Outer Drive-Hayes scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Detroit

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

49.2% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$985 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Detroit

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Detroit

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Detroit

6.0

How Outer Drive-Hayes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
99%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

94%Grade A
6%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Outer Drive-Hayes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

45.9%Housing insecurity
41.9%Utility-shutoff threat
61.4%Food insecurity
70.2%SNAP enrollment
33.0%Transit barriers
14.4%No health insurance
27.7%Frequent mental distress
50.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Outer Drive-Hayes

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Detroit eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Wayne County average of 6.4 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 45.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 41.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163501200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163501200?

Census tract 26163501200 in the Outer Drive-Hayes neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163501200?

Median gross rent is $985/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163501200?

49.2% of residents in tract 26163501200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,310.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163501200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 78th, minority 99th, housing 42th.

Is tract 26163501200 considered part of Outer Drive-Hayes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163501200 fall within Outer Drive-Hayes (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163501200 struggle to pay rent?

About 45.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 41.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163501200 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163501200 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163501200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.