Davison-Schoolcraft Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 33.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

Cost burden runs 32% here against 46.6% across Wayne County. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $29,391, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Disability prevalence runs 46.6% against 31.5% nationally.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.