Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
The Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Blaine
Tract 27003050819 · Anoka County, MN · pop 5,073 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
For landlords sizing up the The Lakes neighborhood of Blaine, census tract 27003050819 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #36,274 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,801 a month while the average household earns $148,065 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,807
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$148,065
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blaine and the region
Centroid at 45.1761, -93.1843 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Lakes scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Blaine
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,801 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blaine
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blaine
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blaine
4.7
How The Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.4%Peak (2012)
- 7Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 75% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.0%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Lakes
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Blaine eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Anoka County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.4% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003050819
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050819?
Census tract 27003050819 in the The Lakes neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003050819?
Median gross rent is $1,801/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050819?
2.9% of residents in tract 27003050819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,073.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050819?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 48th, minority 40th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 27003050819 considered part of The Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050819 fall within The Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050819?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050819 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.47% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27003050819 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27003050819 compare to Blaine overall?
Tract 27003050819 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Blaine at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blaine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Blaine
Top eight tracts in Blaine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related