Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
The Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Blaine
Tract 27003050820 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,506 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 27003050820 covers part of the The Lakes area of Blaine, MN, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,506. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Anoka County average of 43.4%.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$123,432
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blaine and the region
Centroid at 45.1881, -93.2228 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Lakes scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Blaine
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,028 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blaine
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blaine
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blaine
4.7
How The Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2012)
- 12Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Lakes
The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2/10.
The voucher gap is 20.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,028 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Blaine commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7/10. SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 filings here across 4 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points below the Anoka County average of 4.2. The worst year on record was 2012, when 10.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003050820
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050820?
Census tract 27003050820 in the The Lakes neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003050820?
Median gross rent is $2,028/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050820?
8.1% of residents in tract 27003050820 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,506.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050820?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 24th, minority 46th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 27003050820 considered part of The Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050820 fall within The Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050820?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050820 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.84% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27003050820 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27003050820 compare to Blaine overall?
Tract 27003050820 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Blaine at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blaine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Blaine
Top eight tracts in Blaine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Parkside
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27003050828
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Northdale
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27003050826
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27003050807
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Crescent Ponds
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Parkside
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Crescent Ponds
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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