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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

The Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Blaine

Tract 27003050820 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,506 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 27003050820 runs through the The Lakes neighborhood of Blaine. With 3,506 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #51,638 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,028 a month against an average household income of $123,432 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 8% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,257
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$123,432

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In The Lakes
Very High
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 17 tracts In Blaine
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Moderate
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#1,243 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blaine and the region

Centroid at 45.1881, -93.2228 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Lakes scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blaine
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,028 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blaine
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blaine
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blaine
4.7

How The Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 050820Blaine: 4.94.9Blaineparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 4.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.1%Peak (2012)
  • 12Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030508202009: 4 filings (4.20/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (1.71/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2012: 12 filings (10.08/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Lakes

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Blaine eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Anoka County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.1% of renter households in 2012.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003050820

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050820?

Census tract 27003050820 in the The Lakes neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003050820?

Median gross rent is $2,028/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050820?

8.1% of residents in tract 27003050820 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,506.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050820?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 24th, minority 46th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 27003050820 considered part of The Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050820 fall within The Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050820?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050820 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.84% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27003050820 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27003050820 compare to Blaine overall?

Tract 27003050820 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Blaine at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blaine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blaine

Top eight tracts in Blaine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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