Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Fridley Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27003051202 · Anoka County, MN · pop 4,248
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 27003051202 in Fridley ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,248 residents. That is riskier than about 83% of US census tracts.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,350 monthly, set against $60,643 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share45.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$60,643
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
79
th percentile
High
National
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fridley and the region
Centroid at 45.0764, -93.2548 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fridley scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fridley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fridley
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fridley
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fridley
5.9
How Fridley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 64Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2012)
- 21Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 62% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.9%Food insecurity
- 14.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 33.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fridley
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fridley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Anoka County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003051202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051202?
Census tract 27003051202 in Fridley scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003051202?
Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051202?
19.2% of residents in tract 27003051202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,248.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 82th, minority 65th, housing 95th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 64 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27003051202 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27003051202 compare to Fridley overall?
Tract 27003051202 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Fridley at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fridley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fridley
Top eight tracts in Fridley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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