Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27037060836 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,270

The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 27037060836 reflects conditions in Lakeville, Minnesota. That is riskier than about 61% of US census tracts.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,686 monthly, set against $107,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score

1.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 11% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units2,058

Renter share22.7%

SVI overall0.31

Poverty rate3.0%

Median income$107,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeville and the region

Centroid at 44.6419, -93.2354 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeville scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lakeville

6.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

3.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,686 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lakeville

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lakeville

3.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lakeville

4.9

How Lakeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
39%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.4%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
24.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeville

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060836

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060836?

Census tract 27037060836 in Lakeville scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27037060836?

Median gross rent is $1,686/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060836?

3.0% of residents in tract 27037060836 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,270.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060836?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 39th, minority 53th, housing 58th.

What share of households in tract 27037060836 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27037060836 compare to Lakeville overall?

Tract 27037060836 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville

Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.