Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060831 · Dakota County, MN · pop 7,515
For landlords sizing up Lakeville, census tract 27037060831 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. On the national scale it ranks #70,804 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $172,950 a year. About 2% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units2,408
Renter share1.6%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$172,950
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
National
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeville and the region
Centroid at 44.7089, -93.1779 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeville scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9
How Lakeville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 22%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeville
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Dakota County average of 5.3 and below the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 3rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060831
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060831?
Census tract 27037060831 in Lakeville scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060831?
4.3% of residents in tract 27037060831 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,515.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060831?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 22th, minority 39th, housing 7th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 27037060831 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 27037060831 compare to Lakeville overall?
Tract 27037060831 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville
Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060830
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037061501
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060836
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060833
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060835
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060816
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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