Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Lakeville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060830 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,149
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 27037060830 (Lakeville, Minnesota) comes in at 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 26% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,601 a month against an average household income of $100,429 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$100,429
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
National
11
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeville and the region
Centroid at 44.7047, -93.2073 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakeville scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,601 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9
How Lakeville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakeville
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Dakota County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 9.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060830
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060830?
Census tract 27037060830 in Lakeville scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060830?
Median gross rent is $1,601/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060830?
6.0% of residents in tract 27037060830 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,149.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060830?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 52th, minority 42th, housing 11th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27037060830 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27037060830 compare to Lakeville overall?
Tract 27037060830 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville
Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037061501
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060836
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060831
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060833
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060835
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060816
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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