Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Argonne Eviction Risk: Lower , Lakeville
Tract 27037060815 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,787 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
27037060815 is a census tract in the Argonne area of Lakeville, MN. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,787 residents. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,170
Renter share17.7%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$116,346
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeville and the region
Centroid at 44.6830, -93.2732 · click any tract to drill in
Why Argonne scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,662 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9
How Argonne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 190Total filings over 5 yrs
- 13.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.5%Peak (2010)
- 35Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Argonne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.4%Food insecurity
- 5.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Argonne
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.7/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.7% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 190 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Housing insecurity runs 7.1% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2010, when 16.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $116,346, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060815
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060815?
Census tract 27037060815 in the Argonne neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060815?
Median gross rent is $1,662/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060815?
6.9% of residents in tract 27037060815 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,787.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060815?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 51th, minority 32th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060815 considered part of Argonne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060815 fall within Argonne (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060815?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060815 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.97% of renter households, peaking at 16.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037060815 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037060815 compare to Lakeville overall?
Tract 27037060815 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Lakeville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville
Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060830
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27037061501
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060836
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060835
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060833
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060831
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060834
3
/ 10 · Low
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