Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Argonne Eviction Risk: Lower , Lakeville
Tract 27037060814 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,610 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 3.1/10, tract 27037060814 in the Argonne area of Lakeville, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,610. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,977
Renter share5.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$127,073
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakeville and the region
Centroid at 44.7062, -93.2723 · click any tract to drill in
Why Argonne scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9
How Argonne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 5 yrs
- 11.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2010)
- 5Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Argonne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Argonne
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Against Dakota County at 45.6%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The voucher gap is 28.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.9/10.
At $2,167 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Lakeville commands. SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 7.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2010, when 12.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.0% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060814
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060814?
Census tract 27037060814 in the Argonne neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060814?
Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060814?
1.8% of residents in tract 27037060814 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,610.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060814?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 11th, minority 25th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060814 considered part of Argonne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060814 fall within Argonne (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060814?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060814 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.04% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037060814 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037060814 compare to Lakeville overall?
Tract 27037060814 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville
Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060830
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27037061501
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060836
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060835
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060831
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060833
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060834
3
/ 10 · Low
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