Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
Morris Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053012102 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,223 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 27053012102 covers part of the Morris Park area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,223. 18% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,453
Renter share19.4%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$94,704
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9000, -93.2152 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morris Park scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,551 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Morris Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 70%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 79Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.81%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.3%Peak (2009)
- 9Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 65% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 37Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.68×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Morris Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morris Park
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.0 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1.
Court records carry 79 eviction filings across 5 observed years. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.
At $1,551 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Minneapolis commands. Filings peaked in 2009 at 10.3% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053012102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053012102?
Census tract 27053012102 in the Morris Park neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053012102?
Median gross rent is $1,551/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053012102?
4.0% of residents in tract 27053012102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,223.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053012102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 7th, minority 37th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 27053012102 considered part of Morris Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053012102 fall within Morris Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053012102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 79 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053012102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.81% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053012102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053012102 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053012102 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053012102 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053012102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Holland
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Downtown West
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Marcy-Holmes
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Windom Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Prospect Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Elliot Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Willard-Hay
8
/ 10 · High
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