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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27053020804 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,994 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Crystal

Tract 27053020804 sits in Crystal eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 10% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,232
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$76,325

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Crystal
Very High
Within county
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#167 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Moderate
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#478 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Crystal and the region

Centroid at 45.0478, -93.3653 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Crystal
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,609 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Crystal
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Crystal
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Crystal
6.6

How Crystal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0208044.2Crystalparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 148Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2009)
  • 30Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27053020804
Filings dropped 29% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 79Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal

72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hennepin County average of 43.1%. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 148 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,609, 10% above the Crystal average.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 11.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Hennepin County average of 5.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $76,325.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053020804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053020804?

Census tract 27053020804 in Crystal scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053020804?

Median gross rent is $1,609/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053020804?

11.4% of residents in tract 27053020804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,994.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053020804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 36th, minority 51th, housing 65th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053020804?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 148 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053020804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.53% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27053020804 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27053020804 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27053020804 compare to Crystal overall?

Tract 27053020804 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Crystal at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Crystal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Crystal

Top eight tracts in Crystal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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