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Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27053021002 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 1,918

For landlords sizing up Crystal, census tract 27053021002 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

79% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,526 monthly, set against $84,792 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 8% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units761
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$84,792

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Crystal
Elevated
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#199 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#884 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,757 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Crystal and the region

Centroid at 45.0109, -93.3598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Crystal
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,526 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Crystal
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Crystal
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Crystal
6.6

How Crystal compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 021002Crystal: 5.05.0Crystalparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 89Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2011)
  • 16Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270530210022009: 11 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)2010: 21 filings (5.40/100 renter HHs)2011: 31 filings (7.85/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)2013: 16 filings (4.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 46Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (1.61× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (4.84× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (3.23× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (1.61× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Crystal eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.01x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053021002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021002?

Census tract 27053021002 in Crystal scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053021002?

Median gross rent is $1,526/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021002?

8.7% of residents in tract 27053021002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,918.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 83th, minority 43th, housing 59th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 89 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.70% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27053021002 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27053021002 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27053021002 compare to Crystal overall?

Tract 27053021002 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Crystal at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Crystal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Crystal

Top eight tracts in Crystal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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