Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Crystal Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27053021002 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 1,918
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 27053021002 in Crystal, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,918. The severe-burden share is 55%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units761
Renter share41.0%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$84,792
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Crystal and the region
Centroid at 45.0109, -93.3598 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crystal scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Crystal
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,526 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Crystal
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Crystal
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Crystal
6.6
How Crystal compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 89Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2011)
- 16Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 45% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 46Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crystal
79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Hennepin County average of 43.1%. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 89 evictions over 5 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.
It sits 0.7 points below the Hennepin County average of 5.1. The worst year on record was 2011, when 7.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,526, close to the Crystal average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021002?
Census tract 27053021002 in Crystal scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021002?
Median gross rent is $1,526/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021002?
8.7% of residents in tract 27053021002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 83th, minority 43th, housing 59th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 89 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.70% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021002 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053021002 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053021002 compare to Crystal overall?
Tract 27053021002 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Crystal at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Crystal eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Crystal
Top eight tracts in Crystal ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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