Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Hawthorne Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053101600 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,794 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
27053101600 is a census tract in the Hawthorne area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,794 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units978
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate46.4%
Median income$22,155
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0090, -93.2841 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hawthorne scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
46.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$809 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Hawthorne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 15%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 574Total filings over 5 yrs
- 19.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.7%Peak (2009)
- 87Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 269Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hawthorne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.2%Housing insecurity
- 25.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.5%Food insecurity
- 47.8%SNAP enrollment
- 27.2%Transit barriers
- 21.9%No health insurance
- 23.8%Frequent mental distress
- 45.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hawthorne
roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Hennepin County average of 43.1%. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points.
The poverty rate is 46%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $809 a month, rents run 41% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands.
Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $22,155, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, local political climate reads 9/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.4% against 31.5% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.9% against 11.3% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 574 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2009 at 29.7% of renter households.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053101600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053101600?
Census tract 27053101600 in the Hawthorne neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053101600?
Median gross rent is $809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053101600?
46.4% of residents in tract 27053101600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,794.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053101600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 86th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 27053101600 considered part of Hawthorne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053101600 fall within Hawthorne (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053101600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 574 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053101600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.74% of renter households, peaking at 29.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053101600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053101600 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053101600 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053101600 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053101600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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