Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Lowry Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minneapolis

Tract 27053105500 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,036 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Lowry Hill in Minneapolis anchors census tract 27053105500, which lands at 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 68% of US census tracts.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,232 a month against an average household income of $90,662 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 36% Owners 39%

Tract context

Occupied units2,415

Renter share60.3%

SVI overall0.06

Poverty rate5.1%

Median income$90,662

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9684, -93.2954 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lowry Hill scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Minneapolis

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

5.1% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$1,232 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Minneapolis

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Minneapolis

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Minneapolis

7.0

How Lowry Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

19%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
26%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

28%Grade A
40%Grade B
0%Grade C
15%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

79Total filings over 5 yrs
1.18%Avg annual filing rate
1.7%Peak (2010)
5Filings in 2013 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2013

Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

62Total filings 2020-21
0.8Avg monthly (observed)
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
1.45×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.1%Housing insecurity
3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
6.0%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
13.1%Frequent mental distress
20.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lowry Hill

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 15% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 79 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 1.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.7% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053105500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053105500?

Census tract 27053105500 in the Lowry Hill neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27053105500?

Median gross rent is $1,232/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053105500?

5.1% of residents in tract 27053105500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,036.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053105500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 1th, minority 26th, housing 28th.

Is tract 27053105500 considered part of Lowry Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053105500 fall within Lowry Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053105500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 79 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053105500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.18% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 27053105500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.45× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 27053105500 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27053105500 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053105500 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27053105500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org