Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Rondo Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul

Tract 27123035900 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 1,033 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 27123035900 sits in the Rondo area of St. Paul, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. Population here is 1,033. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 36% Owners 29%

Tract context

Occupied units742

Renter share70.9%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate21.6%

Median income$46,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9409, -93.1104 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rondo scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Paul

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

21.6% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$954 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Paul

7.5

How Rondo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
3%Grade B
0%Grade C
95%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

73Total filings over 7 yrs
2.69%Avg annual filing rate
4.6%Peak (2011)
4Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings dropped 67% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

104Total filings 2020-21
1.4Avg monthly (observed)
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
2.10×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rondo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.5%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
19.0%Food insecurity
14.5%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
31.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rondo

It sits 2.3 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $954, 26% below the St. Paul average.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 73 filings here across 7 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 4.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123035900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123035900?

Census tract 27123035900 in the Rondo neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27123035900?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123035900?

21.6% of residents in tract 27123035900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,033.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123035900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 34th, minority 52th, housing 65th.

Is tract 27123035900 considered part of Rondo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123035900 fall within Rondo (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123035900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 73 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123035900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.69% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 27123035900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.10× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 27123035900 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27123035900 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123035900 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27123035900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 95% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org