White Bear Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27123040200 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 1,857 · 79% of tract blocks fall in White Bear Lake
With a score of 4/10, tract 27123040200 in White Bear Lake, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,857. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across White Bear Lake and the region
Centroid at 45.0824, -92.9930 · click any tract to drill in
Why White Bear Lake scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow White Bear Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.8%Peak (2009)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.4%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in White Bear Lake
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points.
Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 4.6% against 15.2% nationally.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 28 filings here across 7 tracked years.
Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2009 at 2.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 27123040200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040200?
What is the average rent in tract 27123040200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040200?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123040200?
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040200 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 27123040200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27123040200 compare to White Bear Lake overall?
Highest-risk tracts in White Bear Lake
Top eight tracts in White Bear Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.