Eviction Risk in Seminole/Holland , Springfield
Tract 29077001200 · Greene County, MO · pop 3,740 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 29077001200 sits in the Seminole/Holland neighborhood of Springfield, Missouri. It has a population of 3,740 and an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). 39% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 13% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $964/month against a median household income of $56,044 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 3,947 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 9.8%
- White (non-Hispanic) 80.6%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 5.1%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 2.6%
- Other / Multiracial 2%
How the 4.6/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 7.9 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.1 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 4.0 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 3.5 | Springfield (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 1.0 | Springfield (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 2.5 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 2.0 | Springfield (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 2.5 | Springfield (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 3.8 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 4.7 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 430Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2012)
- 40Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Dominant grade: A — best — Mortgage-friendly under New Deal lending rules
Approximately 9% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Springfield. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 4.9%A (Best)
- 3.6%B (Desirable)
- 0.1%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 29077001200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077001200?
Census tract 29077001200 in the Seminole/Holland neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 29077001200?
Median gross rent is $964/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077001200?
15.3% of residents in tract 29077001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,740.
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 63th, minority 27th, housing 35th.
Is tract 29077001200 considered part of Seminole/Holland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077001200 fall within Seminole/Holland (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 430 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.93% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 29077001200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 29077001200 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is A (Best). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Springfield. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.