Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole/Holland Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield
Tract 29077001200 · Greene County, MO · pop 3,740 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Eviction risk in the Seminole/Holland neighborhood of Springfield centers on tract 29077001200, which scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,740 residents. That is riskier than roughly 26% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $964 monthly, set against $56,044 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,953
Renter share42.5%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$56,044
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 37.1745, -93.2863 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole/Holland scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$964 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
How Seminole/Holland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 5%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 430Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.0%Peak (2012)
- 40Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.9%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 36.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole/Holland
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Greene County average of 4.7 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 430 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.0% of renter households in 2012.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29077001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077001200?
Census tract 29077001200 in the Seminole/Holland neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29077001200?
Median gross rent is $964/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077001200?
15.3% of residents in tract 29077001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,740.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 63th, minority 27th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 29077001200 considered part of Seminole/Holland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077001200 fall within Seminole/Holland (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 430 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.93% of renter households, peaking at 7.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29077001200 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29077001200 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 29077001200 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29077001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Phelps Grove/University Heights
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West Central
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Tom Watkins
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Robberson
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Rountree/Walnut
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West Central
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Westside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Heart of the Westside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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