Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Tom Watkins Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield
Tract 29077003300 · Greene County, MO · pop 3,386 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 29077003300 reflects conditions in Tom Watkins in Springfield, Missouri. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $850 a month while the average household earns $29,148 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate40.2%
Median income$29,148
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 37.2337, -93.3308 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tom Watkins scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Springfield
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
40.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$850 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
2.5
How Tom Watkins compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 675Total filings over 9 yrs
- 9.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.5%Peak (2017)
- 95Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 102% over the past 9 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.5%Housing insecurity
- 18.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.8%Food insecurity
- 30.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.1%Transit barriers
- 14.9%No health insurance
- 24.2%Frequent mental distress
- 49.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tom Watkins
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Greene County average of 4.7 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 675 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 9.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.5% of renter households in 2017.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29077003300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077003300?
Census tract 29077003300 in the Tom Watkins neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29077003300?
Median gross rent is $850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077003300?
40.2% of residents in tract 29077003300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,386.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077003300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 72th, minority 36th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 29077003300 considered part of Tom Watkins?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29077003300 fall within Tom Watkins (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077003300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 675 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 29077003300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.93% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29077003300 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29077003300 compare to Springfield overall?
Tract 29077003300 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29077003300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Phelps Grove/University Heights
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West Central
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Robberson
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Rountree/Walnut
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West Central
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Westside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Heart of the Westside
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Robberson
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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