Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
O'Fallon Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29183311907 · St. Charles County, MO · pop 5,837 · 80% of tract blocks fall in O'Fallon
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 29183311907 in O'Fallon, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,837 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.6/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,372
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$78,721
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
78
th percentile
High
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across O'Fallon and the region
Centroid at 38.7941, -90.7435 · click any tract to drill in
Why O'Fallon scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,405 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from O'Fallon
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from O'Fallon
3.6
How O'Fallon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 451Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2012)
- 37Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 236% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 10.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.4%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in O'Fallon
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the St. Charles County average of 3.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Cost burden runs 31% here against 36.4% across St. Charles County. The voucher gap is 15.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Court records carry 451 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 6.9/10.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 7.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,405, close to the O'Fallon average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29183311907
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29183311907?
Census tract 29183311907 in O'Fallon scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29183311907?
Median gross rent is $1,405/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29183311907?
12.4% of residents in tract 29183311907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,837.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29183311907?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 58th, minority 34th, housing 5th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29183311907?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 451 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 29183311907 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.34% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29183311907 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29183311907 compare to O'Fallon overall?
Tract 29183311907 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of O'Fallon at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from O'Fallon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in O'Fallon
Top eight tracts in O'Fallon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
29183311602
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29183311603
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29183312207
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29183311802
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29183311738
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29183311733
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29183980000
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
29183311734
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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