Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Black Jack Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189210806 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,091 · 43% of tract blocks fall in Black Jack
For landlords sizing up Black Jack in St. Louis County, census tract 29189210806 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,149 monthly, set against $68,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,225
Renter share20.5%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$68,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Black Jack and the region
Centroid at 38.7896, -90.2490 · click any tract to drill in
Why Black Jack scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Black Jack
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,149 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Black Jack
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Black Jack
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Black Jack
7.5
How Black Jack compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 941Total filings over 8 yrs
- 20.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.5%Peak (2013)
- 130Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,146Total filings 2020-21
- 14.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.1%Housing insecurity
- 16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.2%Food insecurity
- 18.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 8.5%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 38.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Black Jack
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Black Jack, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 941 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 20.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.5% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189210806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210806?
Census tract 29189210806 in Black Jack scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189210806?
Median gross rent is $1,149/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210806?
4.4% of residents in tract 29189210806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,091.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 77th, minority 89th, housing 45th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210806?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 941 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.54% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189210806 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189210806 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189210806 compare to Black Jack overall?
Tract 29189210806 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Black Jack at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Black Jack; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Black Jack
Top eight tracts in Black Jack ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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