Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Bel-Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189213600 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,070 · 45% of tract blocks fall in Bel-Ridge
Tract 29189213600, home to 4,070 residents in Bel-Ridge in St. Louis County, scores 6.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $877 monthly, set against $35,697 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,600
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$35,697
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bel-Ridge and the region
Centroid at 38.7135, -90.3277 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bel-Ridge scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bel-Ridge
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$877 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bel-Ridge
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bel-Ridge
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bel-Ridge
8.0
How Bel-Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 29%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,170Total filings over 8 yrs
- 14.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.4%Peak (2017)
- 189Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 48% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 999Total filings 2020-21
- 13.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 9.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.31×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.0%Housing insecurity
- 27.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 39.9%Food insecurity
- 40.0%SNAP enrollment
- 21.5%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 22.4%Frequent mental distress
- 49.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bel-Ridge
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bel-Ridge, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.31x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,170 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 14.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.4% of renter households in 2017.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189213600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189213600?
Census tract 29189213600 in Bel-Ridge scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189213600?
Median gross rent is $877/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189213600?
20.5% of residents in tract 29189213600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,070.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189213600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 95th, minority 86th, housing 95th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189213600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,170 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189213600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.09% of renter households, peaking at 18.4% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189213600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189213600 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 27.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189213600 compare to Bel-Ridge overall?
Tract 29189213600 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bel-Ridge at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bel-Ridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189213600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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