Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Castle Point Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 29189210502 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,547 · 55% of tract blocks fall in Castle Point
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 29189210502 in Castle Point, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,547. 48% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,455
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$53,622
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Castle Point and the region
Centroid at 38.7498, -90.2481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Castle Point scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Castle Point
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,360 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Point
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Point
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Point
9.5
How Castle Point compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 519Total filings over 8 yrs
- 15.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.0%Peak (2012)
- 81Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 62% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 464Total filings 2020-21
- 6.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.8%Housing insecurity
- 25.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.1%Food insecurity
- 36.3%SNAP enrollment
- 19.5%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 46.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Castle Point
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10. Food insecurity runs 36.1% against 17.8% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. It sits 1.7 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,360, 24% above the Castle Point average.
Cost burden runs 50% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County. The filing record is not thin: 519 evictions over 8 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 18.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189210502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210502?
Census tract 29189210502 in Castle Point scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189210502?
Median gross rent is $1,360/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210502?
26.6% of residents in tract 29189210502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,547.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 98th, minority 93th, housing 27th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 519 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.94% of renter households, peaking at 18.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189210502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189210502 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189210502 compare to Castle Point overall?
Tract 29189210502 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Castle Point at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189210502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Castle Point
Top eight tracts in Castle Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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