Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Ellendale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Maplewood
Tract 29189217000 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,049 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 29189217000 covers part of the Ellendale area of Maplewood, MO, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,049 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,978
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$69,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maplewood and the region
Centroid at 38.6074, -90.3242 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellendale scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maplewood
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maplewood
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maplewood
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maplewood
4.1
How Ellendale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 13%Grade B
- 77%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 498Total filings over 8 yrs
- 5.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2004)
- 37Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 162Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellendale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellendale
Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 498 eviction filings across 8 observed years. At $1,107 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Maplewood commands.
Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2004 at 6.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $69,889.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217000?
Census tract 29189217000 in the Ellendale neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189217000?
Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217000?
11.5% of residents in tract 29189217000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,049.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 28th, minority 35th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 29189217000 considered part of Ellendale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189217000 fall within Ellendale (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 498 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.00% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29189217000 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29189217000 compare to Maplewood overall?
Tract 29189217000 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Maplewood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maplewood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29189217000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maplewood
Top eight tracts in Maplewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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