Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Ellendale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Maplewood
Tract 29189217200 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 1,927 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 29189217200 in the Ellendale area of Maplewood, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,927. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 21% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units978
Renter share46.8%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$66,064
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Maplewood and the region
Centroid at 38.6181, -90.3280 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellendale scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Maplewood
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$868 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Maplewood
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Maplewood
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Maplewood
4.1
How Ellendale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 36%Grade B
- 47%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 127Total filings over 8 yrs
- 2.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2012)
- 20Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 183Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellendale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellendale
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 127 eviction filings across 8 observed years. At $868 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Maplewood commands.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 4.6% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Louis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $66,064, annual rent is just 16%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217200?
Census tract 29189217200 in the Ellendale neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189217200?
Median gross rent is $868/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217200?
9.4% of residents in tract 29189217200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,927.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 11th, minority 59th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 29189217200 considered part of Ellendale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189217200 fall within Ellendale (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.95% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29189217200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29189217200 compare to Maplewood overall?
Tract 29189217200 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Maplewood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maplewood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29189217200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Maplewood
Top eight tracts in Maplewood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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