Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Ellisville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189217806 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,341 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Ellisville
Census tract 29189217806 covers part of Ellisville, MO, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.9/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,414
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$93,768
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
National
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ellisville and the region
Centroid at 38.5986, -90.5732 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellisville scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ellisville
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,808 rent vs county FMR
9.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellisville
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellisville
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellisville
4.4
How Ellisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 198Total filings over 8 yrs
- 4.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2010)
- 15Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 52% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 71Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.45×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.5%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellisville
The voucher gap is 48.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 7.5% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,808 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Ellisville commands.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 198 filings here across 8 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 5.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217806?
Census tract 29189217806 in Ellisville scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189217806?
Median gross rent is $1,808/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217806?
11.7% of residents in tract 29189217806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,341.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 69th, minority 44th, housing 51th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217806?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 198 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.22% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217806 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.45× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189217806 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189217806 compare to Ellisville overall?
Tract 29189217806 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Ellisville at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellisville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ellisville
Top eight tracts in Ellisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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