Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189218016 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,034 · 47% of tract blocks fall in Manchester
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 29189218016 (Manchester in St. Louis County, Missouri) comes in at 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 57% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,367 monthly, set against $83,277 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,873
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$83,277
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
National
25
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manchester and the region
Centroid at 38.5880, -90.4968 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manchester
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,367 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
4.2
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 285Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189218016
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189218016?
Census tract 29189218016 in Manchester scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189218016?
Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189218016?
11.7% of residents in tract 29189218016 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,034.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189218016?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 46th, minority 48th, housing 39th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189218016 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189218016 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189218016 compare to Manchester overall?
Tract 29189218016 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manchester
Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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