Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189218016 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,034 · 47% of tract blocks fall in Manchester
Census tract 29189218016 covers part of Manchester, MO, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,034. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.5/10.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,873
Renter share64.5%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate11.7%
Median income$83,277
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
National
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manchester and the region
Centroid at 38.5880, -90.4968 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manchester
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
11.7% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,367 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
4.2
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 285Total filings 2020-21
- 3.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the St. Louis County average of 42.0%. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.6/10.
It tracks the St. Louis County average of 4.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,367, close to the Manchester average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $83,277. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189218016
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189218016?
Census tract 29189218016 in Manchester scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189218016?
Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189218016?
11.7% of residents in tract 29189218016 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,034.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189218016?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 46th, minority 48th, housing 39th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 29189218016 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 29189218016 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 29189218016 compare to Manchester overall?
Tract 29189218016 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Manchester at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manchester
Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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