Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Winchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189217931 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 6,893 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Winchester
Census tract 29189217931 belongs to Winchester, Missouri. It is home to 6,893 residents and scores 5.2/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,231 a month against an average household income of $108,730 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,452
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$108,730
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
National
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winchester and the region
Centroid at 38.5829, -90.5316 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winchester scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winchester
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,231 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
3.2
How Winchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 90Total filings over 8 yrs
- 3.11%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2012)
- 10Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 38Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 5.6%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winchester
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217931
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217931?
Census tract 29189217931 in Winchester scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189217931?
Median gross rent is $1,231/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217931?
1.9% of residents in tract 29189217931 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,893.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217931?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 18th, minority 47th, housing 39th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217931?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217931 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.11% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217931 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189217931 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189217931 compare to Winchester overall?
Tract 29189217931 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Winchester at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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