Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Manchester Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 29189217941 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 5,999 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Manchester
Manchester is where census tract 29189217941 sits, home to 5,999 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 68% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,566 monthly, set against $108,553 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,382
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$108,553
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
National
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Manchester and the region
Centroid at 38.5780, -90.5127 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manchester scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Manchester
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,566 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Manchester
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Manchester
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Manchester
4.2
How Manchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 138Total filings over 8 yrs
- 7.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.3%Peak (2003)
- 10Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 60% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 66Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manchester
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Manchester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.73x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189217941
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217941?
Census tract 29189217941 in Manchester scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189217941?
Median gross rent is $1,566/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217941?
1.5% of residents in tract 29189217941 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,999.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217941?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 17th, minority 36th, housing 8th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217941?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 138 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217941 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.38% of renter households, peaking at 11.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189217941 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189217941 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189217941 compare to Manchester overall?
Tract 29189217941 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Manchester at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Manchester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Manchester
Top eight tracts in Manchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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