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Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Ellisville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 29189217943 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,659 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Ellisville

Ellisville in St. Louis County anchors census tract 29189217943, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,485 a month against an average household income of $109,181 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 8% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,203
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$109,181

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Ellisville
Low
Within county
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#187 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#1,527 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very Low
National
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#78,212 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Ellisville and the region

Centroid at 38.5871, -90.5732 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ellisville scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ellisville
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,485 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellisville
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellisville
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellisville
4.4

How Ellisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ellisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.61.6This tracttract 217943Ellisville: 2.52.5Ellisvilleparent cityCounty: 2.82.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 43Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 5.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.8%Peak (2012)
  • 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 291892179432003: 9 filings (8.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (3.83/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (4.88/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2012: 11 filings (9.82/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (3.57/100 renter HHs)2017: 2 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 78% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 23Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ellisville

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ellisville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 43 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.8% of renter households in 2012.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189217943

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189217943?

Census tract 29189217943 in Ellisville scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189217943?

Median gross rent is $1,485/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189217943?

1.9% of residents in tract 29189217943 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,659.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189217943?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 57th, minority 35th, housing 29th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189217943?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189217943 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.04% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189217943 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189217943 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189217943 compare to Ellisville overall?

Tract 29189217943 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Ellisville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellisville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ellisville

Top eight tracts in Ellisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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