Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Saint Louis Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Shrewsbury
Tract 29189219601 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 4,144 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Elevated-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 29189219601 reflects conditions in Saint Louis Hills in Shrewsbury, Missouri. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,170 a month against an average household income of $77,133 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,179
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate12.8%
Median income$77,133
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shrewsbury and the region
Centroid at 38.5814, -90.3301 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saint Louis Hills scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shrewsbury
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.8% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,170 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shrewsbury
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shrewsbury
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shrewsbury
5.4
How Saint Louis Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 22%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 270Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.81×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Saint Louis Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 34.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saint Louis Hills
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shrewsbury, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.81x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189219601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189219601?
Census tract 29189219601 in the Saint Louis Hills neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189219601?
Median gross rent is $1,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189219601?
12.8% of residents in tract 29189219601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,144.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189219601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 33th, minority 34th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 29189219601 considered part of Saint Louis Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189219601 fall within Saint Louis Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189219601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189219601 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189219601 compare to Shrewsbury overall?
Tract 29189219601 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Shrewsbury at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shrewsbury; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189219601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shrewsbury
Top eight tracts in Shrewsbury ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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