Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Wells Goodfellow Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis

Tract 29510106200 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 1,658 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

29510106200 is a census tract in the Wells Goodfellow area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,658. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 41% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units604

Renter share77.0%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate70.7%

Median income$23,421

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Louis and the region

Centroid at 38.6803, -90.2781 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wells Goodfellow scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Louis

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

Missouri legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

70.7% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$835 rent vs county FMR

1.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Louis

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Louis

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Louis

5.0

How Wells Goodfellow compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
22%Grade B
65%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

467Total filings over 13 yrs
8.70%Avg annual filing rate
11.9%Peak (2008)
29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2017

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

88Total filings 2020-21
1.1Avg monthly (observed)
2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.39×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wells Goodfellow. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

46.6%Housing insecurity
44.0%Utility-shutoff threat
58.8%Food insecurity
65.4%SNAP enrollment
33.4%Transit barriers
16.3%No health insurance
26.0%Frequent mental distress
56.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wells Goodfellow

SNAP participation runs 65.4% against 15.2% nationally. Disability prevalence runs 56.0% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 71%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $23,421, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.3/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. Against the St. Louis City average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Cost burden runs 47% here against 41.6% across St. Louis City. Average gross rent is $835, 16% below the St. Louis average.

The filing record is not thin: 467 evictions over 13 years of observation.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 29510106200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510106200?

Census tract 29510106200 in the Wells Goodfellow neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 29510106200?

Median gross rent is $835/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 29510106200?

70.7% of residents in tract 29510106200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,658.

How socially vulnerable is tract 29510106200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 77th, minority 97th, housing 77th.

Is tract 29510106200 considered part of Wells Goodfellow?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510106200 fall within Wells Goodfellow (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510106200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 467 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510106200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.70% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 29510106200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 29510106200 struggle to pay rent?

About 46.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 44.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 29510106200 compare to St. Louis overall?

Tract 29510106200 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 29510106200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis

Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org