Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Park East Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510107400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,048 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
29510107400 is a census tract in the Walnut Park East area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,048 residents. SNAP participation runs 50.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units698
Renter share53.3%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$46,304
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6959, -90.2506 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Park East scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$957 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Walnut Park East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 823Total filings over 13 yrs
- 23.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 55.9%Peak (2007)
- 42Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 178Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Walnut Park East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.3%Housing insecurity
- 33.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.1%Food insecurity
- 50.8%SNAP enrollment
- 26.3%Transit barriers
- 16.6%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 52.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Park East
Disability prevalence runs 52.7% against 31.5% nationally. Cost burden runs 29% here against 41.6% across St. Louis City.
The score leans hardest on regional political climate at 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The filing record is not thin: 823 evictions over 13 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 55.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 23.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510107400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510107400?
Census tract 29510107400 in the Walnut Park East neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510107400?
Median gross rent is $957/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510107400?
21.6% of residents in tract 29510107400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,048.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510107400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 47th, minority 99th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 29510107400 considered part of Walnut Park East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510107400 fall within Walnut Park East (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510107400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 823 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510107400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.20% of renter households, peaking at 55.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510107400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510107400 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510107400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510107400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510107400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Peabody-Darst-Webbe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Gravois Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Patch
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
West End
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Baden
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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