Eviction Risk in Walnut Park East , St. Louis
Tract 29510107400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,048 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 29510107400 sits in the Walnut Park East neighborhood of St. Louis, Missouri. It has a population of 2,048 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 29% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 20% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $957/month against a median household income of $46,304 — roughly 25% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 2,061 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- White (non-Hispanic) 0.6%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 81.2%
- Other / Multiracial 18.2%
How the 5.5/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.1 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.1 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.3 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 2.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 5.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 5.5 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 5.4 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 2.9 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 823Total filings over 13 yrs
- 23.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 55.9%Peak (2007)
- 42Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 178Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Walnut Park East. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.3%Housing insecurity
- 33.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.1%Food insecurity
- 50.8%SNAP enrollment
- 26.3%Transit barriers
- 16.6%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 52.7%Any disability
Dominant grade: B — still desirable
Approximately 100% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in St. Louis. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 100.0%B (Desirable)
- 0.0%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 29510107400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510107400?
Census tract 29510107400 in the Walnut Park East neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 29510107400?
Median gross rent is $957/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510107400?
21.6% of residents in tract 29510107400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,048.
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510107400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 47th, minority 99th, housing 77th.
Is tract 29510107400 considered part of Walnut Park East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510107400 fall within Walnut Park East (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510107400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 823 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510107400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.20% of renter households, peaking at 55.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Did eviction filings in tract 29510107400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply — likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
What share of households in tract 29510107400 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.5% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 29510107400 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is B (Still Desirable). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in St. Louis. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.