Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Central West End Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510119102 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 3,486 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
29510119102 is a census tract in the Central West End area of St. Louis, MO. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units2,134
Renter share84.7%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$51,410
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6421, -90.2529 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central West End scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,132 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Central West End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 51%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 42%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 284Total filings over 13 yrs
- 1.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2007)
- 7Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 79% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 155Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central West End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central West End
85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. What pushes it up most is regional political climate at 8.3/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Against St. Louis City at 41.6%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 284 evictions over 13 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,132, 14% above the St. Louis average.
Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2007 at 2.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510119102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510119102?
Census tract 29510119102 in the Central West End neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510119102?
Median gross rent is $1,132/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510119102?
20.1% of residents in tract 29510119102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,486.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510119102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 16th, minority 64th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 29510119102 considered part of Central West End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510119102 fall within Central West End (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510119102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 284 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510119102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.41% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510119102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510119102 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510119102 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510119102 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510119102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 42% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Covenant Blu Grand Center
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Walnut Park East
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
North Riverfront
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Saint Louis Place
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mark Twain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Peabody-Darst-Webbe
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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