Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Central West End Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510112400 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 4,109 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
For landlords sizing up Central West End in St. Louis, census tract 29510112400 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #24,064 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 39% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,467 a month while the average household earns $75,694 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,512
Renter share70.5%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$75,694
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6451, -90.2610 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central West End scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,467 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Central West End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 4%Grade A
- 85%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 507Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2006)
- 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 68% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 218Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.60×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central West End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central West End
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 507 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 2.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2006.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510112400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510112400?
Census tract 29510112400 in the Central West End neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510112400?
Median gross rent is $1,467/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510112400?
19.2% of residents in tract 29510112400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,109.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510112400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 11th, minority 40th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 29510112400 considered part of Central West End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510112400 fall within Central West End (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510112400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 507 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510112400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.36% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510112400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.60× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510112400 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510112400 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510112400 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510112400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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