Eviction Risk in Central West End , St. Louis
Tract 29510119101 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 2,381 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 29510119101 sits in the Central West End neighborhood of St. Louis, Missouri. It has a population of 2,381 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 30% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 15% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,063/month against a median household income of $54,545 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White-Black Neighborhood — 2,601 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 4.6%
- White (non-Hispanic) 45.5%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 28.8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 13.8%
- Other / Multiracial 7.2%
How the 5.5/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 8.1 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 2.1 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.3 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 2.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 5.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 5.5 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.0 | St. Louis (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 5.2 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 3.7 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 478Total filings over 13 yrs
- 3.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2012)
- 57Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 198Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central West End. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.4%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.7%Any disability
Dominant grade: C — definitely declining
Approximately 100% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in St. Louis. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 3.1%B (Desirable)
- 96.8%C (Declining)
- 0.0%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 29510119101
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510119101?
Census tract 29510119101 in the Central West End neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 29510119101?
Median gross rent is $1,063/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510119101?
20.9% of residents in tract 29510119101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,381.
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510119101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 32th, minority 70th, housing 87th.
Is tract 29510119101 considered part of Central West End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510119101 fall within Central West End (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510119101?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 478 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510119101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.18% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Did eviction filings in tract 29510119101 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
What share of households in tract 29510119101 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 29510119101 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is C (Definitely Declining). Roughly 0% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in St. Louis. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.