Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown West Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510125500 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 4,502 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 29510125500 belongs to Downtown West in St. Louis, Missouri. It is home to 4,502 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,254 monthly, set against $66,188 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 76% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,787
Renter share75.9%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$66,188
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6293, -90.2029 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown West scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,254 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Downtown West compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,394Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2017)
- 224Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 323% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 2,361Total filings 2020-21
- 30.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.90×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown West
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,394 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 8.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.0% of renter households in 2017.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510125500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510125500?
Census tract 29510125500 in the Downtown West neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510125500?
Median gross rent is $1,254/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510125500?
17.9% of residents in tract 29510125500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,502.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510125500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 11th, minority 67th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 29510125500 considered part of Downtown West?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510125500 fall within Downtown West (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510125500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,394 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510125500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.16% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510125500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510125500 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510125500 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510125500 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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