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Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

Downtown West Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,502 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.9–3.9

Downtown West maps to a single census tract in St. Louis, MO, population 4,502. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 48% against 28.2% citywide, putting Downtown West 20.1% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 27%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. At $1,254 a month, rents sit 26% over what the rest of St. Louis commands.

Court records for this tract carry 1,394 eviction filings. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The worst year on record was 2017, when filings touched 10.0% of renter households. Among the 69 mapped neighborhoods of St. Louis, it ranks #47 by risk, the lower third. Judgments average 5.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are McKinley Heights and Holly Hills. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $66,188.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown West vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.3% +71%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,254 +26%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$66,188 +15%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
17.9% -11%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
75.9% +39%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown West and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.9–3.9

Why Downtown West scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
76% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
17.9% below poverty line · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Downtown West vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown West score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.9Downtown WestNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown West

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510125500 3.9 4,502 48% $1,254
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 11%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 87%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown West

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,394Total filings (sum)
  • 8.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.0%Peak year (2017)
  • 9.97%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,361Total filings 2020-21
  • 30.7Avg monthly observed
  • 10.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.90×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown West

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown West

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown West?

Downtown West scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown West compare to St. Louis overall?

Downtown West scores 0.3 points lower than St. Louis overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,254 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown West?

Average gross rent in Downtown West is $1,254/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown West residents are renters?

76% of Downtown West households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 4,502 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown West a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown West sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown West for landlords?

Downtown West carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown West?

Downtown West has 4,274 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (35.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown West

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown West.

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