Skip to content
Neighborhood · St. Louis, MO

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,822 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 4–4

Downtown is a white-black neighborhood in St. Louis with 1 census tract and a population of 4,822 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 35% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,313/month sits 32% higher than the St. Louis citywide average ($997).

Risk score
4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs St. Louis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.8% +23%
St. Louis: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$1,313 +32%
St. Louis: $997
Average HH income
$91,175 +58%
St. Louis: $57,574
Poverty rate
17.7% -12%
St. Louis: 20.0%
Renter share
81.2% +48%
St. Louis: 54.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4–4

Why Downtown scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
81% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
17.7% below poverty line · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown: 4.04.0DowntownNeighborhoodParent city: 3.33.3Parent cityhost cityState: 2.62.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
29510125600 4 4,822 35% $1,313
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 46

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 6%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,184Total filings (sum)
  • 9.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak year (2016)
  • 8.97%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 2,431Total filings 2020-21
  • 31.6Avg monthly observed
  • 13.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.30×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon, OR).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to St. Louis overall?

Downtown scores 0.7 points higher than St. Louis overall (3.3/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,313 vs $997.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $1,313/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

81% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 55% in St. Louis). The neighborhood has 4,822 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Louis as a whole (3.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 5,234 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (38.1%), Hispanic / Latino (9.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Louis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further