Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510125600 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 4,822 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 29510125600 runs through the Downtown area of St. Louis. With 4,822 residents, it scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 35% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,313 a month against an average household income of $91,175 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 81% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 53%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units3,428
Renter share81.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$91,175
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6272, -90.1887 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,313 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,184Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2016)
- 232Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 52% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 2,431Total filings 2020-21
- 31.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 13.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.30×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.9%Food insecurity
- 10.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,184 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 9.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.0% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510125600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510125600?
Census tract 29510125600 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510125600?
Median gross rent is $1,313/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510125600?
17.7% of residents in tract 29510125600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,822.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510125600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 5th, minority 66th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 29510125600 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510125600 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510125600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,184 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510125600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.22% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510125600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.30× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510125600 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510125600 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510125600 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Covenant Blu Grand Center
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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