Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Gate District Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Louis
Tract 29510127300 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 4,626 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 29510127300 runs through the Gate District neighborhood of St. Louis. With 4,626 residents, it scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 42nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $864 a month against an average household income of $65,404 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,206
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$65,404
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6193, -90.2357 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gate District scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$864 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Gate District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 66%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,055Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2007)
- 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 259Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.7%Food insecurity
- 13.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gate District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Louis City County average of 5.8 and in line with the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.59x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510127300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510127300?
Census tract 29510127300 in the Gate District neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510127300?
Median gross rent is $864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510127300?
12.7% of residents in tract 29510127300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,626.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510127300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 17th, minority 80th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 29510127300 considered part of Gate District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510127300 fall within Gate District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510127300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,055 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510127300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.61% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510127300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510127300 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510127300 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510127300 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of St. Louis at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510127300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 66% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Midtown
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Mount Pleasant
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Carr Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
JeffVanderLou
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
College Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related