Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Gate District Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Louis
Tract 29510127300 · St. Louis city, MO · pop 4,626 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 29510127300 covers part of the Gate District area of St. Louis, MO, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,626. Cost burden runs roughly one in four here against 41.6% across St. Louis City.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,206
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$65,404
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Louis and the region
Centroid at 38.6193, -90.2357 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gate District scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Louis
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$864 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Louis
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Louis
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Louis
5.0
How Gate District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 66%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,055Total filings over 13 yrs
- 8.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2007)
- 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 259Total filings 2020-21
- 3.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.7%Food insecurity
- 13.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gate District
The dominant input is regional political climate at 8.3/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.1/10.
Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
It sits 1.0 points below the St. Louis City average of 4.4. Court records carry 1,055 eviction filings across 13 observed years. At $864 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of St. Louis commands.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 12.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $65,404, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29510127300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29510127300?
Census tract 29510127300 in the Gate District neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29510127300?
Median gross rent is $864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29510127300?
12.7% of residents in tract 29510127300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,626.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29510127300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 17th, minority 80th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 29510127300 considered part of Gate District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29510127300 fall within Gate District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29510127300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,055 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 29510127300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.61% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29510127300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29510127300 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29510127300 compare to St. Louis overall?
Tract 29510127300 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of St. Louis at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Louis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29510127300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 66% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Louis
Top eight tracts in St. Louis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
College Hill
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Midtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Wells Goodfellow
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Penrose
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Columbus Square
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Old North Saint Louis
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Academy
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MO
Vandeventer
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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