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Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Cascade Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 30013010400 · Cascade County, MT · pop 1,858 · 18% of tract blocks fall in Cascade

With a score of 3.4/10, tract 30013010400 in Cascade, MT reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,858 residents. Average gross rent is $1,105, 40% above the Cascade average.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 12% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units840
Renter share19.5%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$75,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cascade
Moderate
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
Elevated
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#162 of 319 tracts In Montana
Moderate
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cascade and the region

Centroid at 47.0748, -111.6884 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cascade scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cascade
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,105 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cascade
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cascade
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cascade
6.9

How Cascade compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cascade risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0104003.8Cascadeparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cascade

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.7/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $75,000, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters. It tracks the Cascade County average of 3.5 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 30013010400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013010400?

Census tract 30013010400 in Cascade scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 30013010400?

Median gross rent is $1,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 30013010400?

10.1% of residents in tract 30013010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,858.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 30013010400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 31th, minority 16th, housing 47th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 30013010400 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 30013010400 compare to Cascade overall?

Tract 30013010400 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Cascade at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cascade; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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