Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Great Falls Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 30013002201 ·
Cascade County, MT · pop 3,244 · 59% of tract blocks fall in Great Falls
Tract 30013002201 sits in Great Falls eviction risk, MT, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 10%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,679
Renter share18.9%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$65,064
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56th percentile
#9 of 19 tracts In Great Falls
Elevated
Within county
63th percentile
#10 of 25 tracts In Cascade County
Elevated
Within state
49th percentile
#162 of 319 tracts In Montana
Moderate
National
29th percentile
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Great Falls and the region
Centroid at 47.4606, -111.2908 · click any tract to drill in
Why Great Falls scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Falls
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Montana legislature & governorship
1.7
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$674 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Falls
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Falls
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Falls
2.0
How Great Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.2%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.7%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
16.7%Frequent mental distress
35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Great Falls
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $674, 25% below the Great Falls average. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cascade County average of 37.1%. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Against average income of $65,064, annual rent is just 12%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Cascade County average of 3.5 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 30013002201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30013002201?
Census tract 30013002201 in Great Falls scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 30013002201?
Median gross rent is $674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 30013002201?
13.9% of residents in tract 30013002201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,244.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 30013002201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 29th, minority 14th, housing 79th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 30013002201 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 30013002201 compare to Great Falls overall?
Tract 30013002201 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Great Falls at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Great Falls
Top eight tracts in Great Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.