Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Norton Ranch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bozeman

Tract 30031000505 · Gallatin County, MT · pop 6,248 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4/10, tract 30031000505 in the Norton Ranch area of Bozeman, MT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,248 residents. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 24% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units2,670

Renter share40.9%

SVI overall0.15

Poverty rate10.5%

Median income$107,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bozeman and the region

Centroid at 45.6759, -111.1150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Norton Ranch scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bozeman

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.4

State political climate

Montana legislature & governorship

1.7

Economic stress

10.5% poverty · this tract

2.6

Supply constraint

$1,896 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bozeman

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bozeman

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bozeman

4.5

How Norton Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

28%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
18%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.7%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
8.8%Food insecurity
5.6%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
8.7%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
22.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Norton Ranch

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10.

Average gross rent is $1,896, 10% above the Bozeman average. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Gallatin County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $107,241.

41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 30031000505

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 30031000505?

Census tract 30031000505 in the Norton Ranch neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 30031000505?

Median gross rent is $1,896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 30031000505?

10.5% of residents in tract 30031000505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,248.

How socially vulnerable is tract 30031000505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 1th, minority 18th, housing 66th.

Is tract 30031000505 considered part of Norton Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 30031000505 fall within Norton Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 30031000505 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 30031000505 compare to Bozeman overall?

Tract 30031000505 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Bozeman at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bozeman eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bozeman

Top eight tracts in Bozeman ranked by composite eviction-risk score.