Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Papillion Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 31153010617 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 5,555 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Papillion
In Papillion, census tract 31153010617 scores 3.8/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 9% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
26% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $998 monthly, set against $118,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 10% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,869
Renter share16.3%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$118,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
2
th percentile
Very Low
National
4
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Papillion and the region
Centroid at 41.1654, -96.0330 · click any tract to drill in
Why Papillion scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Papillion
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$998 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Papillion
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Papillion
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Papillion
3.7
How Papillion compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 85Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 13.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Papillion
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Papillion eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarpy County average of 4.1 and in line with the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 85 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.4% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 31153010617
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010617?
Census tract 31153010617 in Papillion scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31153010617?
Median gross rent is $998/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010617?
2.7% of residents in tract 31153010617 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,555.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010617?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 24th, minority 31th, housing 20th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010617?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010617 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.03% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 31153010617 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 31153010617 compare to Papillion overall?
Tract 31153010617 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Papillion at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Papillion eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Papillion
Top eight tracts in Papillion ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
Tower District
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NE
Tower District
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NE
31153010637
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · NE
Overland Hills
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · NE
31153010616
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · NE
31153010638
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · NE
Overland Hills
1.1
/ 10 · Very Low
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