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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Garfield Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34003021500 · Bergen County, NJ · pop 5,155 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

For landlords sizing up Garfield Park in Garfield, census tract 34003021500 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,555 monthly, set against $71,316 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 64% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 30% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,838
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$71,316

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 14 tracts In Garfield Park
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Garfield
Moderate
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 203 tracts In Bergen County
Very High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#488 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Garfield and the region

Centroid at 40.8691, -74.1016 · click any tract to drill in

Why Garfield Park scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garfield
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,555 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garfield
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garfield
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garfield
6.7

How Garfield Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Garfield Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 021500Garfield: 7.67.6Garfieldparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 439Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2013)
  • 85Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340030215002013: 101 filings (7.93/100 renter HHs)2014: 82 filings (6.44/100 renter HHs)2015: 90 filings (7.07/100 renter HHs)2017: 81 filings (6.04/100 renter HHs)2018: 85 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Garfield Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Garfield Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bergen County average of 6.3 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 44% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34003021500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34003021500?

Census tract 34003021500 in the Garfield Park neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34003021500?

Median gross rent is $1,555/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34003021500?

10.6% of residents in tract 34003021500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,155.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34003021500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 74th, minority 79th, housing 71th.
Q5

Is tract 34003021500 considered part of Garfield Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34003021500 fall within Garfield Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34003021500?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 439 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 34003021500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.76% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34003021500 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34003021500 compare to Garfield overall?

Tract 34003021500 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Garfield at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34003021500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 44% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garfield

Top eight tracts in Garfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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