Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #2,214 of 84,120 nationally
Newark Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34013005100 · Essex County, NJ · pop 2,579
Newark in Essex County anchors census tract 34013005100, which lands at 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.
64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,453 a month against an average household income of $51,977 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units960
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$51,977
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
National
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 40.7146, -74.2068 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newark scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,453 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0
How Newark compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 57%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 804Total filings over 6 yrs
- 27.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.1%Peak (2018)
- 153Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.3%Housing insecurity
- 18.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.6%Food insecurity
- 26.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.7%Transit barriers
- 14.8%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newark
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newark eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 29.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34013005100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013005100?
Census tract 34013005100 in Newark scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34013005100?
Median gross rent is $1,453/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34013005100?
16.1% of residents in tract 34013005100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,579.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34013005100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 58th, minority 100th, housing 76th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013005100?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 804 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013005100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.40% of renter households, peaking at 30.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34013005100 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34013005100 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 34013005100 scores 7.9/10, lower than the parent city of Newark at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34013005100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013004802
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013009400
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013005400
9.4
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013000300
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Academy Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Related